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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 9(21), p. 1651-1653, 2015

DOI: 10.3201/eid2109.141030

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Randomness of Dengue Outbreaks on the Equator

Journal article published in 2015 by Yirong Chen, Alex R. Cook ORCID, Alisa X. L. Lim
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

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Data provided by SHERPA/RoMEO

Abstract

A simple mathematical model without seasonality indicated that the apparently chaotic dengue epidemics in Singapore have characteristics similar to epidemics resulting from chance. Randomness as a sufficient condition for patterns of dengue epidemics in equatorial regions calls into question existing explanations for dengue outbreaks there.