Published in

Elsevier, Spatial Statistics, (10), p. 27-42

DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2014.07.001

Links

Tools

Export citation

Search in Google Scholar

Spatial Fay-Herriot Models for Small Area Estimation with Functional Covariates

Journal article published in 2013 by Aaron T. Porter, Scott H. Holan, Christopher K. Wikle, Noel Cressie ORCID
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

Full text: Download

Green circle
Preprint: archiving allowed
Red circle
Postprint: archiving forbidden
Red circle
Published version: archiving forbidden
Data provided by SHERPA/RoMEO

Abstract

The Fay-Herriot (FH) model is widely used in small area estimation and uses auxiliary information to reduce estimation variance at undersampled locations. We extend the type of covariate information used in the FH model to include functional covariates, such as social-media search loads or remote-sensing images (e.g., in crop-yield surveys). The inclusion of these functional covariates is facilitated through a two-stage dimension-reduction approach that includes a Karhunen-Loève expansion followed by stochastic search variable selection. Additionally, the importance of modeling spatial autocorrelation has recently been recognized in the FH model; our model utilizes the intrinsic conditional autoregressive class of spatial models in addition to functional covariates. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through simulation and analysis of data from the American Community Survey. We use Google Trends searches over time as functional covariates to analyze relative changes in rates of percent household Spanish-speaking in the eastern half of the United States. ; Comment: 26 pages, 5 figures