National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 47(111), p. 16694-16699, 2014
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We determined methane (CH4) emissions from Alaska, USA using airborne measurements from the Carbon Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE). Atmospheric sampling was conducted between May and September 2012, and analyzed using a customized version of the Polar Weather Research and Forecast model linked to a Lagrangian particle dispersion model (Stochastic Time-Inverted Lagrangian Transport Model). We estimated growing season CH4 fluxes of 8 2 mg CH4 m 2 d 1 averaged over all of Alaska, corresponding to fluxes from wetlands of 56+22 13 20 mg CH4 m 2 d 1 if we assumed that wetlands are the only source from the land surface (all uncertainties are 95% confidence intervals from a bootstrapping analysis). Fluxes roughly doubled from May to July, then decreased gradually in August and September. Integrated emissions totaled 25 2:1 0:5 Tg CH4 for Alaska from May to September 2012, close to the average (2.3, range 0.7-6 Tg CH4) predicted by various land surface models and inversion analyses for the growing season. Methane emissions from boreal Alaska were larger than from the North Slope; the monthly regional flux estimates show no evidence of enhanced 30 emissions during early spring or late fall, although these bursts may be more localized in time and space than can be detected by our analysis. These results provide an important baseline to which future studies can be compared. ; Engineering and Applied Sciences