Published in

Cambridge University Press, Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 1(32), p. 100-101, 2009

DOI: 10.1017/s0140525x09000466

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Let us not put the probabilistic cart before the uncertainty bull

Journal article published in 2009 by Guy Politzer, Jean-François Bonnefon ORCID
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

AbstractAlthough we endorse the primacy of uncertainty in reasoning, we argue that a probabilistic framework cannot model the fundamental skill of proof administration. Furthermore, we are skeptical about the assumption that standard probability calculus is the appropriate formalism to represent human uncertainty. There are other models up to this task, so let us not repeat the excesses of the past.