Published in
American Psychological Association, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 3(6), p. 171-182
DOI: 10.1037/1076-898x.6.3.171
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People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times.
Journal article published in 2000 by
Ian R. Newby-Clark,
Michael Ross,
Roger Buehler,
Derek J. Koehler 
,
Dale Griffin
,
Dale Griffin
This paper is available in a repository.
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