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Elsevier, Contemporary Clinical Trials, 1(31), p. 55-61, 2010

DOI: 10.1016/j.cct.2009.08.002

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Geographic Difference in Survival Outcome for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Implications on Future Clinical Trial Design

This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

In clinical trials of systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), Asian trials almost always reported poorer survival than non-Asian trials. This study sought to identify contributory factors for this geographic difference. A systematic review was done on randomized trials for unresectable HCC that used systemic therapy as an experimental arm and placebo or supportive care as control. Meta-analysis was performed with the consideration of fixed and random effects. Then, meta-regression was performed to identify predictors of patient survival in the control arm and the treatment effects (improvement in median survival). Fourteen trials (6 Asians, 8 non-Asians) were eligible for meta-analysis. The median survival of patients in the control arm, which indicated natural history of advanced HCC patients, was 3.57 +/- 1.88 months in Asian trials and 5.96 +/- 1.46 months in non-Asian trials (p=0.02). Independent predictors of better survival included non-Asian trials (p=0 .0007), higher percentage of Child A cirrhosis (p=0.01) and hepatitis B (HBV)- related HCC (p=0.02). Sub-group analysis suggested that Asian trials tended to enroll patients with more advanced diseases. Independent predictors of better treatment effect included non-Asian trials, higher percentage of extra-hepatic metastasis, HBV-related HCC, and poorer trial quality. The quantitative estimation of the geographic difference can help design of future clinical trials of advanced HCC. ; 附設醫院腫瘤醫學部 ; 醫學院附設醫院 ; 期刊論文