Published in

American Institute of Physics, Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 3(26), p. 033109

DOI: 10.1063/1.4943569

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Constructing criteria to diagnose the likelihood of extreme events in the case of the electric power grid

Journal article published in 2016 by B. P.-H. van Milligen ORCID, B. A. Carreras ORCID, D. E. Newman
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

A set of new criteria for the diagnosis of the possible occurrence of a large blackout are constructed, using the output from a model for the dynamics of the electric power grid (the OPA model). The approach used is to look for maximum values of the Transfer Entropy between time series of the system variables and the time series of large blackouts. The best criterion is found by looking at the number of overloaded lines at the beginning of the day.