Knowledge of horses that shed the same number of strongyle eggs over time can lead to the optimization of parasite control strategies. This study evaluated shedding of strongyle eggs in 424 horses on 10 farms when a selective anthelmintic treatment regime was used over a 3-year period. Faecal egg counts were performed twice yearly, and horses exceeding 200 eggs per gram (EPG) of faeces were treated. The results are presented as probabilities of the egg count outcome, when two previous egg counts are known. A horse with no strongyle eggs detected in the two previous faecal examinations had an 82% probability of a zero, and a 91% of being below 200 eggs per gram in the third examination. A horse with the two previous egg counts below 200 EPG had an 84% probability of being below 200 EPG the third time as well. When faecal egg counts exceeded 200 EPG on the previous two counts, the probability for a horse exceeding 200 EPG the third time was 59%. In conclusion, these data demonstrate consistent shedding from one grazing season to another in a majority of horses despite treatment of horses exceeding 200 EPG.