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American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Research Letters, 22(42), p. 9970-9979, 2015

DOI: 10.1002/2015gl066005

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The relative contribution of orbital forcing and greenhouse gases to the North American deglaciation: DRIVERS OF N. AMERICAN DEGLACIATION

Journal article published in 2015 by Lauren J. Gregoire ORCID, Paul J. Valdes, Antony J. Payne
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

Understanding what drove Northern Hemisphere ice sheet melt during the last deglaciation (21-7ka) can help constrain how sensitive contemporary ice sheets are to greenhouse gas (GHGs) changes. The roles of orbital forcing and GHGs in the deglaciation have previously been modeled but not yet quantified. Here for the first time we calculate the relative effect of these forcings on the North American deglaciation by driving a dynamical ice sheet model (GLIMMER-CISM) with a set of unaccelerated transient deglacial simulations with a full primitive equation-based ocean-atmosphere general circulation model (FAMOUS). We find that by 9ka, orbital forcing has caused 50% of the deglaciation, GHG 30%, and the interaction between the two 20%. Orbital forcing starts affecting the ice volume at 19ka, 2000years before CO2 starts increasing in our experiments, a delay which partly controls their relative effect.