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The need of latent variables for modelling decision-making in evacuation simulations

Proceedings article published in 2015 by Enrico Ronchi, Dino Borri, Luigi dell'Olio, Ruggiero Lovreglio ORCID, Achille Fonzone
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Preprint: policy unknown
Question mark in circle
Postprint: policy unknown
Question mark in circle
Published version: policy unknown

Abstract

Evacuation models generally tend to make over-simplifications in the representation of human behaviour in fire due to the difficulties to capture its complexity. This work shows how ‘new’ discrete choice model approaches allow overcoming this issue. A description of the existing state-of-the-art of discrete choice models is introduced to highlight the potential of those models. Three case studies are introduced describing an application of the Random Utility Theory to simulate evacuees’ decisions pertaining to the strategic, tactical and operational levels. This work highlights the need for new datasets including indicators which allows estimating latent factors which may affect evacuees’ decision.