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Elsevier, Global Environmental Change, 1(17), p. 8-11

DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.12.003

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Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree

Journal article published in 2007 by Minh Ha-Duong, Rob Swart ORCID, Lenny Bernstein, Arthur Petersen
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of uncertainties, but coordination across working groups (WGs) has remained an issue. We argue that there are good reasons for working groups to use different methods to assess uncertainty, thus it is better that working groups agree to disagree rather than seek to bring everybody on one party line.