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Elsevier, International Journal of Cardiology, 2(139), p. 173-180

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2008.10.045

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Atrial fibrillation prevalence, incidence and risk of stroke and all-cause death among Chinese

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Abstract

We investigated atrial fibrillation (AF) prevalence, incidence and the risk of stroke and all-cause death because little is known about AF risk among ethnic Chinese. Methods : We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study among 3560 participants. Prevalent and incident AF was documented by using the 12-lead ECG in baseline and serial follow-ups, and the stroke and all-cause death events were ascertained. Results: Overall prevalence rates of AF in the cohort were 1.4% in men and 0.7% in women. Incidence rates of AF were 1.68 per 1000 person-years for men and 0.76 per 1000 person-years for women. During a median 13.8 years' follow-up, we documented 208 cases of stroke and 776 deaths. As compared with those without AF, participants with AF had nearly 4 times the age, gender- adjusted risk of stroke ( relative risk [RR], 3.87, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.12 -7.15), and twice the risk of death associated with all causes (RR, 2.23, 95% CI, 1.52-3.27). Further adjustment for body mass index, lifestyle factors, socioeconomic status and clinical diseases slightly attenuated these risks. In addition, after adjusting for echocardiographic measures, the following risks remained significant: the multivariate RRs were 2.90 (95% CI, 1.28-6.59) for risk of stroke and 2. 05 (95% CI, 1.27-3.32) for risk of all-cause death among participants with AF. Conclusion: Our data demonstrate that AF is a significant risk factor for stroke and all-cause death for the Chinese. ; 流行病學與預防醫學研究所 ; 公共衛生學院 ; 期刊論文