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American Geophysical Union, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 4(119), p. 3838-3856, 2014

DOI: 10.1002/2013jb010928

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Understanding subsidence in the Mississippi Delta region due to sediment, ice, and ocean loading: Insights from geophysical modeling: Modeling load-induced subsidence

This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

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Abstract

The processes responsible for land-surface subsidence in the Mississippi Delta (MD) have been vigorously debated. Numerous studies have postulated a dominant role for isostatic subsidence associated with sediment loading. Previous computational modeling of present-day vertical land motion has been carried out in order to understand geodetic data. While the magnitudes of these measured rates have been reproduced, the model parameter values required have often been extreme and, in some cases, unrealistic. In contrast, subsidence rates in the MD on the 10^3 yr time scale due to delta loading estimated from relative sea level reconstructions are an order of magnitude lower. In an attempt to resolve this conflict, a sensitivity analysis was carried out using a spherically symmetric visco-elastic solid Earth deformation model with sediment, ice, and ocean load histories. The model results were compared with geologic and geodetic observations that provide a record of vertical land motion over three distinctly different time scales (past 80 kyr, past 7 kyr, past ~15 years). It was found that glacial isostatic adjustment is likely to be the dominant contributor to vertical motion of the Pleistocene and underlying basement. Present-day basement subsidence rates solely due to sediment loading are found to be less than ~0.5 mm yr-1. The analysis supports previous suggestions in the literature that Earth rheology parameters are time dependent. Specifically, the effective elastic thickness of the lithosphere may be <50 km on a 10^5 yr time scale, but closer to 100 km over 10^3 to 10^4 yr time scales.