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Wildland Fire Propagation Danger Maps Based on Factorial Experimentation.

This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

Wildland fire-risk assessment is a very significant issue. This risk assessment is usually based on ignition probability due to meteorological or human factors, but it does not usually consider propagation danger when a wildland fire has started. To evaluate propagation danger, it is necessary to apply some propagation model and simulate the behaviour of the fireline. However, this propagation danger must be evaluated considering many different possible scenarios. Therefore, the amount of simulations that must be carried out is enormous and it is necessary to apply high-performance computing techniques to make the methodology feasible. In this paper, a method for creating propagation danger maps based on factorial experimentation is described. The methodology was applied at a southern Europe scale during the 2004 summer season.