Published in

Elsevier, Epidemics, (9), p. 1-7, 2014

DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.002

Links

Tools

Export citation

Search in Google Scholar

A two-phase within-host model for immune response and its application to serological profiles of pertussis

Journal article published in 2014 by W. F. de Graaf, M. E. E. Kretzschmar ORCID, P. F. M. Teunis, O. Diekmann
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

Full text: Download

Green circle
Preprint: archiving allowed
Green circle
Postprint: archiving allowed
Green circle
Published version: archiving allowed
Data provided by SHERPA/RoMEO

Abstract

We present a simple phenomenological within-host model describing both the interaction between a pathogen and the immune system and the waning of immunity after clearing of the pathogen. We implement the model into a Bayesian hierarchical framework to estimate its parameters for pertussis using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We show that the model captures some essential features of the kinetics of titers of IgG against pertussis toxin. We identify a threshold antibody level that separates a large increase in antibody level upon infection from a small increase and accordingly might be interpreted as a threshold separating clinical from subclinical infections. We contrast predictions of the model with observations reported in the literature and based on independent data and find a remarkable correspondence.