Published in

Elsevier, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, (120), p. 98-105

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.012

Links

Tools

Export citation

Search in Google Scholar

Uncertainty propagation in a model for the estimation of the ground level concentration of dioxin/furans emitted from a waste gasification plant

Journal article published in 2013 by G. Ripamonti, G. Lonati ORCID, Piero Baraldi, F. Cadini, Enrico Zio
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

Full text: Download

Green circle
Preprint: archiving allowed
Red circle
Postprint: archiving forbidden
Red circle
Published version: archiving forbidden
Data provided by SHERPA/RoMEO

Abstract

In this paper we compare two approaches for uncertainty propagation in a model for Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). A purely Probabilistic (PMC) and a Hybrid probabilistic-possibilistic Monte Carlo (HMC) method are considered in their application for the estimation of the ground levels concentration of dioxin/furans emitted from a waste gasification plant. Under the condition of insufficient information for calibrating the estimation model parameters, HMC is shown to be a valid way for properly propagating parameters uncertainty to the model output, without adopting arbitrary and subjective assumptions on the input probability distribution functions. In this sense, HMC could improve the transparency of the EIA procedures with positive effects on the communicability and credibility of its findings.