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Taylor and Francis Group, International Journal of Production Research, p. 1-10

DOI: 10.1080/00207543.2015.1100765

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On the newsvendor model with conditional Value-at-Risk of opportunity loss

Journal article published in 2015 by Xinsheng Xu, Zhiqing Meng, Ping Ji ORCID, Chuangyin Dang ORCID, Hongwei Wang
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

To manage the risk arising from uncertainty in market demand, this paper introduces the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) measure into the decision framework of the newsvendor who aims to minimise his opportunity loss. It is found under the CVaR measure that the newsvendor's optimal order quantity is increasing in the confidence level when the understock loss is bigger than the overstock loss. This implies that an over-ordering may be even more caused by the newsvendor's risk aversion about opportunity loss than risk seeking behaviour. Under this optimal order quantity, it is proved that the newsvendor's expected profit and expected opportunity loss are decreasing and increasing in the confidence level, respectively. Furthermore, some management insights are presented to facilitate the risk management of the newsvendor model. ; Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering