Published in
Elsevier, The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2(15), p. 204-211
DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(14)71074-6
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Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: A computational modelling analysis
Journal article published in 2015 by
Stefano Merler 
,
Marco Ajelli,
Laura Fumanelli,
Marcelo F. C. Gomes,
Ana Pastore Y. Piontti,
Luca Rossi,
Dennis L. Chao,
Ira M. Longini Jr,
M. Elizabeth Halloran,
M. Elizabeth Halloran,
Alessandro Vespignani
,
Marco Ajelli,
Laura Fumanelli,
Marcelo F. C. Gomes,
Ana Pastore Y. Piontti,
Luca Rossi,
Dennis L. Chao,
Ira M. Longini Jr,
M. Elizabeth Halloran,
M. Elizabeth Halloran,
Alessandro Vespignani
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Abstract
Background The 2014 epidemic of Ebola virus disease in parts of west Africa defi nes an unprecedented health threat. We developed a model of Ebola virus transmission that integrates detailed geographical and demographic data from Liberia to overcome the limitations of non-spatial approaches in projecting the disease dynamics and assessing non-pharmaceutical control interventions.