Published in

Elsevier, Global and Planetary Change, 4(26), p. 375-386

DOI: 10.1016/s0921-8181(00)00050-3

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The natural latitudinal distribution of atmospheric CO2

Journal article published in 2000 by John A. Taylor, James C. Orr ORCID
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

Although poorly understood, the north–south distribution of the natural component of atmospheric CO offers 2 information essential to improving our understanding of the exchange of CO between the atmosphere, oceans, and 2 biosphere. The natural or unperturbed component is equivalent to that part of the atmospheric CO distribution which is 2 controlled by non-anthropogenic CO fluxes from the ocean and terrestrial biosphere. Models should be able to reproduce 2 the true north–south gradient in CO due to the natural component before they can reliably estimate present-day CO 2 2 sources and sinks and predict future atmospheric CO . We have estimated the natural latitudinal distribution of atmospheric 2 CO , relative to the South Pole, using measurements of atmospheric CO during 1959–1991 and corresponding estimates of 2 2 Ž . anthropogenic CO emissions to the atmosphere. Key features of the natural latitudinal distribution include: 1 CO 2 2 Ž . concentrations in the northern hemisphere that are lower than those in the southern hemisphere; 2 CO concentration 2 Ž . Ž . differences that are higher in the tropics associated with outgassing of the oceans than those currently measured; and 3 CO concentrations over the southern ocean that are relatively uniform. This natural latitudinal distribution and its sensitivity 2 to increasing fossil fuel emissions both indicate that near-surface concentrations of atmospheric CO in the northern 2 hemisphere are naturally lower than those in the southern hemisphere. Models that find the contrary will also mismatch present-day CO in the northern hemisphere and incorrectly ascribe that region as a large sink of anthropogenic CO . 2 2 q 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.