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Model abstraction in subsurface flow and transport modeling

This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Preprint: policy unknown
Question mark in circle
Postprint: policy unknown
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Published version: policy unknown

Abstract

Model abstraction (MA) is a methodology for reducing the complexity of a simulation model while maintaining the validity of the simulation results with respect to the question that the simulation is being used to address. The MA explicitly deals with uncertainties in model structure and in model parameter sources. It has been researched in various knowledge fields that actively use modeling. We present (a) the taxonomy of MA techniques being applied in subsurface hydrologic modeling, (b) the systematic and comprehensive procedure of the MA implementation including (1) defining the context of the modeling problem, (2) defining the need for the MA, (3) selecting applicable MA techniques, (4) identifying MA directions that may give substantial gain, and (5) simplifying the base model in each direction. The need in MA may stem from (a) difficulties to obtain a reliable calibration of the base model, (b) the error propagation making the key outputs uncertain, (c) inexplicable results from the base model, (d) excessive resource requirements of the base model, (e) the intent to include the base model in a larger multimedia environmental model, (f) the request to make the modeling process more transparent and tractable, and (g) the need to justify the use a simple model when a complex model is available. The MA (a) can result in the improved reliability of modeling results, (c) make the data use more efficient, (c) enable risk assessments to be run and analyzed with much quicker turnaround, with the potential for allowing further analyses of problem sensitivity and uncertainty, and (d) enhance communication as simplifications that result from appropriate MAs may make the description of the problem more easily relayed to and understandable by decision-makers and the public