National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 42(118), 2021
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Significance SARS-CoV-2 infection proceeds through the binding of viral surface spike protein to the human ACE2 protein. The global spread of the infection has led to the emergence of fitter and more transmissible variants with increased adaptation both in human and nonhuman hosts. Molecular simulations of the binding event between the spike and ACE2 proteins offer a route to assess potential increase or decrease in infectivity by measuring the change in binding strength. We trained a neural network model that accurately maps simulated binding energies to experimental changes in binding strength upon amino acid changes in the spike protein. This computational workflow can be used to a priori assess currently circulating and prospectively future viral variants for their affinity for hACE2.