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Oxford University Press, Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 9(9), 2022

DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac449

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Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Over Time Prior to Omicron Emergence in Ontario, Canada: Test-Negative Design Study

This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

Abstract Background Waning protection from 2 doses of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines led to third dose availability in multiple countries even before the emergence of the Omicron variant. Methods We used the test-negative study design to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) against any severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, any symptomatic infection, and severe outcomes (COVID-19-related hospitalizations or death) by time since second dose of any combination of BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and ChAdOx1 between January 11, and November 21, 2021, for subgroups based on patient and vaccine characteristics. Results We included 261 360 test-positive cases (of any SARS-CoV-2 lineage) and 2 783 699 individuals as test-negative controls. VE of 2 mRNA vaccine doses decreased from 90% (95% CI, 90%–90%) 7–59 days after the second dose to 75% (95% CI, 72%–78%) after ≥240 days against infection, decreased from 94% (95% CI, 84%–95%) to 87% (95% CI, 85%–89%) against symptomatic infection, and remained stable (98% [95% CI, 97%–98%] to 98% [95% CI, 96%–99%]) against severe outcomes. Similar trends were seen with heterologous ChAdOx1 and mRNA vaccine schedules. VE estimates for dosing intervals <35 days were lower than for longer intervals (eg, VE of 2 mRNA vaccines against symptomatic infection at 120–179 days was 86% [95% CI, 85%–88%] for dosing intervals <35 days, 92% [95% CI, 91%–93%] for 35–55 days, and 91% [95% CI, 90%–92%] for ≥56 days), but when stratified by age group and subperiod, there were no differences between dosing intervals. Conclusions Before the emergence of Omicron, VE of any 2-dose primary series, including heterologous schedules and varying dosing intervals, decreased over time against any infection and symptomatic infection but remained high against severe outcomes.