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Oxford University Press, International Journal of Epidemiology, 5(50), p. 1671-1683, 2021

DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyab058

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The effect of bearing and rearing a child on blood pressure: a nationally representative instrumental variable analysis of 444 611 mothers in India

This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

AbstractBackgroundAt the individual level, it is well known that pregnancies have a short-term effect on a woman’s cardiovascular system and blood pressure. The long-term effect of having children on maternal blood pressure, however, is unknown. We thus estimated the causal effect of having children on blood pressure among mothers in India, a country with a history of high fertility rates.MethodsWe used nationally representative cross-sectional data from the 2015–16 India National Family and Health Survey (NFHS-4). The study population comprised 444 611 mothers aged 15–49 years. We used the sex of the first-born child as an instrumental variable (IV) for the total number of a woman’s children. We estimated the effect of an additional child on systolic and diastolic blood pressure in IV (two-stage least squares) regressions. In additional analyses, we stratified the IV regressions by time since a mother last gave birth. Furthermore, we repeated our analyses using mothers' husbands and partners as the regression sample.ResultsOn average, mothers had 2.7 children [standard deviation (SD): 1.5], a systolic blood pressure of 116.4 mmHg (SD: 14.4) and diastolic blood pressure of 78.5 mmHg (SD: 9.4). One in seven mothers was hypertensive. In conventional ordinary least squares regression, each child was associated with 0.42 mmHg lower systolic [95% confidence interval (CI): –0.46 to –0.39, P < 0.001] and 0.13 mmHg lower diastolic (95% CI: –0.15 to –0.11, P < 0.001) blood pressure. In the IV regressions, each child decreased a mother’s systolic blood pressure by an average of 1.00 mmHg (95% CI: –1.26 to –0.74, P < 0.001) and diastolic blood pressure by an average of 0.35 mmHg (95% CI: –0.52 to –0.17, P < 0.001). These decreases were sustained over more than a decade after childbirth, with effect sizes slightly declining as the time since last birth increased. Having children did not influence blood pressure in men.ConclusionsBearing and rearing a child decreases blood pressure among mothers in India.