In this study, we proposed a preliminary kinetic model applied to the carbonation process of fresh lime with the intention to realize a diagnostic tool for aged fresco paintings. The model can be useful, in particular, in the fields of conservation and restoration of ancient lime wall paintings. The dating procedure was achieved through the analysis of 1064 nm excited Raman spectra collected on artificially aged lime samples in addition to ancient samples taken from literature and covering a period of two thousand years. The kinetic model was developed monitoring the concentration of emitting defective centers related to the intensity of 780 cm−1 calcium hydroxide band as a function of the time and depth. This preliminary model shows how Raman spectroscopy, especially NIR micro-Raman, is advantageous for diagnostics and conservation in the cultural heritage field.