Abstract Background Recently a peripheral blood 8-gene expression assay was developed for non-invasive detection of antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) after kidney transplantation. Its value has not yet been evaluated in detail in clinical scenarios with different baseline disease probability [human leucocyte antigen donor-specific antibodies (HLA-DSA)-positive versus HLA-DSA-negative cases at the time of stable graft function versus graft dysfunction]. Methods Here we investigated the diagnostic accuracy of the 8-gene expression assay for histology of ABMR (ABMRh) with or without HLA-DSA in a cross-sectional cohort study of 387 blood samples with a concomitant graft biopsy. Results In patients with HLA-DSA (n = 64), the 8-gene expression assay discriminated DSA-positive ABMRh (DSAposABMRh) cases (n = 16) with good diagnostic performance {area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 83.1% [95% confidence interval (CI) 70.8–95.3]}. Also, in HLA-DSA-negative samples (n = 323), a clinically relevant diagnostic performance for DSAnegABMRh cases was found (n = 30) with an AUROC of 75.8% (95% CI 67.4–84.4). The 8-gene assay did not discriminate DSAposABMRh cases from DSAnegABMRh cases. There was a net benefit for clinical decision-making when adding the 8-gene expression assay to a clinical model consisting of estimated glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria, HLA-DSA and age. Conclusion The 8-gene expression assay shows great potential for implementation in the clinical follow-up of high-risk HLA-DSA-positive patients and clinical relevance in HLA-DSA-negative cases.