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Springer, Acta Geophysica, 6(66), p. 1509-1523, 2018

DOI: 10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

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Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Journal article published in 2018 by Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Mikołaj Piniewski, Abdelkader Mezghani, Tomasz Okruszko ORCID, Iwona Pińskwar ORCID, Ignacy Kardel, Øystein Hov, Mateusz Szcześniak, Małgorzata Szwed, Rasmus E. Benestad, Paweł Marcinkowski ORCID, Dariusz Graczyk, Andreas Dobler, Eirik J. Førland, Joanna O’Keefe and other authors.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

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Abstract

Abstract The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.