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Oxford University Press, Journal of Crohn's and Colitis, 8(13), p. 1012-1024, 2019

DOI: 10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjz023

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Faecal calprotectin is a very reliable tool to predict and monitor the risk of relapse after therapeutic de-escalation in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases

This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

Abstract Aims To assess faecal calprotectin [Fcal] levels before and after therapeutic de-escalation, to predict clinical relapse in patients with inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. Methods From a prospectively maintained database, we enrolled 160 IBD patients [112 Crohn’s disease/48 ulcerative colitis] in clinical remission, with Fcal measured within 8 weeks before therapeutic de-escalation. Clinical relapse was defined using the Harvey-Bradshaw index or Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index. Results Using a receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve, Fcal >100 µg/g was the best threshold to predict clinical relapse after therapeutic de-escalation (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.84). In multivariate analysis, clinical remission >6 months before therapeutic de-escalation (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.57 [0.33–0.99]; p = 0.044) was associated with decreased risk of relapse, whereas current steroid medication ( = 1.67[1.00–2.79]; p <0.0001) was a risk factor. Fcal >100 µg/g was predictive of clinical relapse (HR = 3.96 [2.47–6.35]; p < 0.0001) in the whole cohort but also in patients receiving anti-tumour necrosis factor [TNF] agents [n = 85 patients; p <0.0001], anti-integrins [n = 32; p = 0.003], or no biologics [n = 43; p = 0.049], or attempting to discontinue steroids [n = 37; p = 0.001]. One patient [1/98] and seven patients [7/88, 8.0%] with baseline Fcal <100 µg/g relapsed within 3 months and 6 months after therapeutic de-escalation, respectively. A total of 74 Fcal measurements were performed in 52 patients after therapeutic de-escalation. Monitoring Fcal >200 µg/g [ROC curve with AUC = 0.96] was highly predictive of clinical relapse in multivariate analysis ([HR = 31.8 [3.5–289.4], p = 0.002). Only two relapses [2/45, 4.4%] occurred within 6 months while Fcal <200 µg/g. Conclusions Fcal level is highly accurate to predict and monitor the risk of relapse after therapeutic de-escalation in IBD patients and could be used in daily practice.