Published in

Nature Research, Scientific Reports, 1(8), 2018

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-33156-w

Links

Tools

Export citation

Search in Google Scholar

The Tsunami Threat to Sydney Harbour, Australia: Modelling potential and historic events

Journal article published in 2018 by Kaya M. Wilson, Stewart Cr R. Allen ORCID, Hannah E. Power ORCID
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

Full text: Download

Green circle
Preprint: archiving allowed
Red circle
Postprint: archiving forbidden
Green circle
Published version: archiving allowed
Data provided by SHERPA/RoMEO

Abstract

AbstractTsunami modelling of potential and historic events in Australia’s Sydney Harbour quantifies the potentially damaging impacts of an earthquake generated tsunami. As a drowned river valley estuary exposed to distant source zones, these impacts are predominantly high current speeds (>2 m/s), wave amplification and rapid changes in water level. Significant land inundation only occurs for scenarios modelled with the largest waves (9.0 MW source). The degree of exposure to the open ocean and the geomorphology of locations within the Harbour determine the relative level of these impacts. Narrow, shallow channels, even those sheltered from the open ocean, create a bottleneck effect and experience the highest relative current speeds as well as elevated water levels. The largest maximum water levels (>8 m) occur in exposed, funnel-shaped bays and wave amplification is greatest at locations exposed to the open ocean: >7 times deep water wave heights for 9.0 MW source waves. Upstream attenuation rates of runup and maximum water level show a linear correlation with wave height parameters at the 100 m depth contour and may provide some predictive capabilities for potential tsunami impacts at analogous locations. In the event of a tsunami in Sydney Harbour, impacts may threaten marine traffic and infrastructure.