Dissemin is shutting down on January 1st, 2025

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Nature Research, Nature Communications, 1(9), 2018

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-04738-z

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When optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither sustainable nor safe

Journal article published in 2018 by Wolfram Barfuss ORCID, Jonathan F. Donges, Steven J. Lade, Jürgen Kurths
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.
This paper is made freely available by the publisher.

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Abstract

AbstractOptimizing economic welfare in environmental governance has been criticized for delivering short-term gains at the expense of long-term environmental degradation. Different from economic optimization, the concepts of sustainability and the more recent safe operating space have been used to derive policies in environmental governance. However, a formal comparison between these three policy paradigms is still missing, leaving policy makers uncertain which paradigm to apply. Here, we develop a better understanding of their interrelationships, using a stylized model of human-environment tipping elements. We find that no paradigm guarantees fulfilling requirements imposed by another paradigm and derive simple heuristics for the conditions under which these trade-offs occur. We show that the absence of such a master paradigm is of special relevance for governing real-world tipping systems such as climate, fisheries, and farming, which may reside in a parameter regime where economic optimization is neither sustainable nor safe.