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Published in

De Gruyter, Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 0(0), 2017

DOI: 10.1515/apjri-2017-0003

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House Price Models for Banking and Insurance Applications: The Impact of Property Characteristics

Journal article published in 2017 by Adam W. Shao, Katja Hanewald ORCID, And Michael Sherris
Distributing this paper is prohibited by the publisher
Distributing this paper is prohibited by the publisher

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Abstract

AbstractHouse price indices are needed to assess house price risk in households’ portfolio allocation decisions and in many housing-related financial products such as reverse mortgages, mortgage insurance and real estate derivatives. This paper first introduces nine widely-used house price models to the insurance, risk management and actuarial literature and provides new evidence on the relative performance of these models. We then show how portfolio-level house price indices for properties with specific physical and locational characteristics can be constructed for these different models. All analyses are based on a large dataset of individual property transactions in Sydney, Australia, for the period 1971-2011. The unrestricted hedonic model and a hybrid hedonic repeat-sales model provide a good model fit and reliable portfolio-level house price indices. Our results are important for banks, insurers and investors that have exposure to house price risks.