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2009 IEEE International Frequency Control Symposium Joint with the 22nd European Frequency and Time forum

DOI: 10.1109/freq.2009.5168246

IOP Publishing, Metrologia, 3(46), p. 267-271, 2009

DOI: 10.1088/0026-1394/46/3/014

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Bayesian inference of a negative quantity from positive measurement results

Journal article published in 2009 by D. Calonico, F. Levi, L. Lorini, G. Mana ORCID
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

Caesium-fountain frequency standards realize the second in the International System of Units with a relative uncertainty approaching 10(-16). Among the main contributions to the accuracy budget, cold collisions play an important role because of the atomic density shift of the reference atomic transition. This paper describes an application of the Bayesian analysis of the clock frequency to estimate the density shift and describes how the Bayes theorem allows the a priori knowledge of the sign of the collisional coefficient to be rigorously embedded into the analysis. As an application, data from the INRIM caesium fountain are used and the Bayesian and orthodox analyses are compared. The Bayes theorem allows the orthodox uncertainty to be reduced by 28% and demonstrates that it is an important tool in primary frequency metrology.