Springer, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, p. 1152-1161, 2005
DOI: 10.1007/11539902_145
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Forecasting reservoir inflow is important to hydropower reservoir management and scheduling. An Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is successfully developed to forecast the long-term discharges in Manwan Hydropower. Using the long-term observations of discharges of monthly river flow discharges during 1953-2003, different types of membership functions and antecedent input flows associated with ANFIS model are tested. When compared to the ANN model, the ANFIS model has shown a significant forecast improvement. The training and validation results show that the ANFIS model is an effective algorithm to forecast the long-term discharges in Manwan Hydropower. The ANFIS model is finally employed in the advanced water resource project of Yunnan Power Group. ; Author name used in this publication: Chun-Tian Cheng ; Author name used in this publication: Ying-Guang Sun ; Author name used in this publication: Kwokwing Chau ; Author name used in this publication: Jian-Yi Lin