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Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 5(6), p. 324-331

DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2013.11447102

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Eurasian Winter Cooling: Intercomparison of Reanalyses and CMIP5 Data Sets

Journal article published in 2013 by Stephen Outten ORCID, Richard Davy, Igor Esau
This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

A cooling trend in wintertime surface air temperature over continental Eurasia has been identified in reanalysis and the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) 'historical' simulations over the period 1989–2009. Here the authors have shown that this cooling trend is related to changes in Arctic sea-ice around the Barents-Kara seas. This study illustrates a consistent spatial and temporal structure of the wintertime temperature variability centered over Asia using state-of-the-art reanalyses and global climate model data-sets. Our findings indicate that there is a physical basis for seasonal predictions of near-surface temperatures over continental Asia based on changes to the ice-cover in the Barents-Kara seas.  Keywords: climate change, climate simulation, atmos-pheric tele-connections Citation: Outten, S., R. Davy, and I. Esau, 2013: Eura-sian winter cooling: Intercomparison of reanalyses and CMIP5 data sets, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 6, 324‒331, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.12.0112.