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Engineering Geology for Society and Territory - Volume 5, p. 743-746

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-09048-1_144

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Scenarios of Land Cover Change and Landslide Susceptibility: An Example from the Buzau Subcarpathians, Romania

This paper is available in a repository.
This paper is available in a repository.

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Abstract

Since 1990 the Subcarpathians in Buzau County, Romania have witnessed substantial socio-economic changes and resulting changes in the land cover. Influ- enced by the interplay of poor economic conditions, land ownership reforms, and institutional difficulties, these changes have been difficult to manage, resulting in a dispersal of built-up areas. Even though, the spatial extent of land cover changes has not reached critical levels as similar areas in the Carpathians, our analysis suggests that in the future the area might experience more extreme land cover changes. Moreover, the litho-structural traits and the high relief energy of the Ro- manian Subcarpathians favored the occurrence of various types of mass move- ments, imposing different levels of risk to people, buildings and infrastructure. In- crease of human influence in form of expansion of built-up areas in the area could therefore result in slope instability and changes in the temporal and spatial patterns of hydro-meteorological hazards. This study shows, that possible future changes in land cover will not have a major influence on hazards, however risk might in- crease due to the increased value and number of elements at risk.