National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 32(117), p. 18998-19006, 2020
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Significance Enhancement of aerosol that can nucleate cloud droplets increases the droplet number concentration and albedo of clouds. This increases the amount of sunlight reflected to space. Uncertainty in how aerosol−cloud interactions over the industrial period have increased planetary albedo by this mechanism leads to significant uncertainty in climate projections. Our work presents a method for observationally constraining the change in albedo due to anthropogenic aerosol emissions: a hemispheric difference in remotely sensed cloud droplet number between the pristine Southern Ocean (a preindustrial proxy) and the polluted Northern Hemisphere. Application of this constraint to climate models reduces the range of estimated albedo change since industrialization and suggests current models underpredict cloud droplet number concentration in the preindustrial era.