Published in
Royal Statistical Society, Significance, 6(14), p. 28-33, 2017
DOI: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2017.01090.x
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How predictable are flu pandemics?
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Abstract
Abstract There were at least four flu pandemics in the past century, but is it possible to predict how many there might be in the century to come? Edward Hill, Michael Tildesley and Thomas House analyse 300 years of outbreaks in search of clues