Published in

Springer Verlag, International Journal of Game Theory, 4(43), p. 881-902

DOI: 10.1007/s00182-013-0409-3

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Utility Proportional Beliefs

Journal article published in 2014 by Christian W. Bach, Andrés Perea
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

In game theory, basic solution concepts often conflict with experimental findings or intuitive reasoning. This fact is possibly due to the requirement that zero probability be assigned to irrational choices in these concepts. Here, we introduce the epistemic notion of common belief in utility proportional beliefs which also assigns positive probability to irrational choices, restricted however by the natural postulate that the probabilities should be proportional to the utilities the respective choices generate. Besides, we propose an algorithmic characterization of our epis-temic concept. With regards to experimental findings common belief in utility proportional beliefs fares well in explaining observed behavior.