Published in

American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Research Letters, 23(49), 2022

DOI: 10.1029/2022gl100416

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Non‐Linear Response of the Extratropics to Tropical Climate Variability

Journal article published in 2022 by A. Walsh ORCID, J. A. Screen ORCID, A. A. Scaife ORCID, D. M. Smith ORCID
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

AbstractThere are established El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Quasi‐biennial Oscillation (QBO) teleconnections to the extratropics that alter the strength of the polar vortex. Here, we demonstrate non‐linearity in the stratospheric polar vortex response to ENSO and QBO combined, in climate model simulations and observational data. We show that the combined effect of El Niño and QBO easterly phase (QBO‐E) on the polar vortex is greater than the linear combination of the individual responses to El Niño and QBO‐E separately. Observations support the model results, despite a relatively small sample of observed cases. We propose that non‐linearity in the teleconnection to ENSO and QBO is caused by the combined effects of an increase in wave driving from El Niño and more poleward propagation of wave activity during QBO‐E. Our results have implications for extreme winters when both El Niño and QBO‐E are active.