Published in

American Association for the Advancement of Science, Science, 6493(368), p. 869-874, 2020

DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw7578

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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Journal article published in 2020 by Martin J. P. Sullivan ORCID, Simon L. Lewis ORCID, Kofi Affum-Baffoe, Carolina Castilho ORCID, Flávia Costa ORCID, Aida Cuni Sanchez ORCID, Corneille E. N. Ewango ORCID, Wannes Hubau ORCID, Beatriz Marimon ORCID, Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza, Lan Qie ORCID, Bonaventure Sonké ORCID, Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez ORCID, Timothy R. Baker ORCID, Roel J. W. Brienen ORCID and other authors.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

Thermal sensitivity of tropical treesA key uncertainty in climate change models is the thermal sensitivity of tropical forests and how this value might influence carbon fluxes. Sullivanet al.measured carbon stocks and fluxes in permanent forest plots distributed globally. This synthesis of plot networks across climatic and biogeographic gradients shows that forest thermal sensitivity is dominated by high daytime temperatures. This extreme condition depresses growth rates and shortens the time that carbon resides in the ecosystem by killing trees under hot, dry conditions. The effect of temperature is worse above 32°C, and a greater magnitude of climate change thus risks greater loss of tropical forest carbon stocks. Nevertheless, forest carbon stocks are likely to remain higher under moderate climate change if they are protected from direct impacts such as clearance, logging, or fires.Science, this issue p.869